Cointegration of the Daily Electric Power System Load and the Weather

Stefan Z. Stefanov

The paper makes a thermal predictive analysis of the electric power system security for a day ahead. This predictive analysis is set as a thermal computation of the expected security. This computation is obtained by cointegrating the daily electric power systen load and the weather, by finding the daily electric power system thermodynamics and by introducing tests for this thermodynamics. The predictive analysis made shows the electricity consumers' wisdom.

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