Probabilistic analysis of solar cell optical performance using Gaussian processes

Rahul Jaiswal, Manel Martínez-Ramón, Tito Busani

This work investigates application of different machine learning based prediction methodologies to estimate the performance of silicon based textured cells. Concept of confidence bound regions is introduced and advantages of this concept are discussed in detail. Results show that reflection profiles and depth dependent optical generation profiles can be accurately estimated using Gaussian processes with exact knowledge of uncertainty in the prediction values.It is also shown that cell design parameters can be estimated for a desired performance metric.

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