On The Impact of Replacing Private Cars with Autonomous Shuttles: An Agent-Based Approach

Daniel Bogdoll, Louis Karsch, Jennifer Amritzer, J. Marius Zöllner

The European Green Deal aims to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, requiring the transportation industry to improve emission efficiency as it accounts for 20% of global CO2 emissions. This study uses an agent-based simulation to analyze the sustainability impacts of shared autonomous shuttles. We forecast travel demands for 2050 and simulate regulatory interventions in the form of replacing private cars with a fleet of shared autonomous shuttles in specific areas. We derive driving-related emissions, energy consumption, and non-driving-related emissions to calculate life-cycle emissions. We observe reduced life-cycle emissions from 0.4% to 9.6% and reduced energy consumption from 1.5% to 12.2%.

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